Research of dissolved oxygen prediction in recirculating aquaculture systems based on deep belief network

Recirculating aquaculture has received more and more attention because of its high efficiency of treatment and recycling of aquaculture wastewater. The content of dissolved oxygen is an important indicator of control in recirculating aquaculture, its content and dynamic changes have great impact on the healthy growth of fish. However, changes of dissolved oxygen content are affected by many factors, and there is an obvious time lag between control regulation and effects of dissolved oxygen. To ensure the aquaculture production safety, it is necessary to predict the dissolved oxygen content in advance. The prediction model based on deep belief network has been proposed in this paper to realize the dissolved oxygen content prediction. A variational mode decomposition (VMD) data processing method has been adopted to evaluate the original data space, it takes the data which has been decomposed by the VMD as the input of deep belief network (DBN) to realize the prediction. The VMD method can effectively separate and denoise the raw data, highlight the relations among data features, and effectively improve the quality of the neural network input. The proposed model can quickly and accurately predict the dissolved oxygen content in time series, and the prediction performance meets the needs of actual production. When compared with bagging, AdaBoost, decision tree and convolutional neural network, the VMD-DBN model produces higher prediction accuracy and stability.     

一种改进的双能量源电动汽车功率分配策略

以并联式双能量源(锂电池组&超级电容)纯电动汽车为研究对象,提出一种改进的功率分配策略。这种功率分配策略在模糊控制的基础上增加深度神经网络训练过程,以获得更精确的功率分配因子。通过整车模型构建、功率分配模型构建、功率分配策略制定、仿真验证结果分析后得出结论:与电量消耗功率分配策略相比,这种改进的功率分配策略能优化锂电池组和超级电容二者之间的功率分流,限制锂电池组充放电的峰值电流,延长复合储能系统的工作寿命,提升动力系统的工作效率。     

一种新型卷积神经网络植物叶片识别方法

为提高植物叶片识别的准确率及减少计算代价,在Pytorch框架下提出一种融合了深度卷积生成式对抗网络(DCGAN)和迁移学习(TL)的新型卷积神经网络叶片识别方法。首先,对植物叶片图像进行预处理,通过DCGAN对样本数据库扩充;其次,利用迁移学习将Inception v3模型应用于图像数据处理上,以提高植物叶片识别的准确率;最后,通过对比实验对该方法的有效性进行验证。结果表明:该方法可以获得96.57%的植物叶片识别精度,同时参数训练的迭代次数由4000次缩短到560次。     

Performance and uncertainty analysis of a short-term climate reconstruction based on multi-source data in the Tianshan Mountains region,China

Short-term climate reconstruction, i.e., the reproduction of short-term(several decades) historical climatic time series based on the relationship between observed data and available longer-term reference data in a certain area, can extend the length of climatic time series and offset the shortage of observations. This can be used to assess regional climate change over a much longer time scale. Based on monthly grid climate data from a Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 5(CMIP5) dataset for the period of 1850–2000, the Climatic Research Unit(CRU) dataset for the period of 1901–2000 and the observed data from 53 meteorological stations located in the Tianshan Mountains region(TMR) of China during the period of 1961–2011, we calibrated and validated monthly average temperature(MAT) and monthly accumulated precipitation(MAP) in the TMR using the delta, physical scaling(SP) and artificial neural network(ANN) methods. Performance and uncertainty during the calibration(1971–1999) and verification(1961–1970) periods were assessed and compared using traditional performance indices and a revised set pair analysis(RSPA) method. The calibration and verification processes were subjected to various sources of uncertainty due to the influence of different reconstructed variables, different data sources, and/or different methods used. According to traditional performance indices, both the CRU and CMIP5 datasets resulted in satisfactory calibrated and verified MAT time series at 53 meteorological stations and MAP time series at 20 meteorological stations using the delta and SP methods for the period of 1961–1999. However, the results differed from those obtained by the RSPA method. This showed that the CRU dataset produced a low degree of uncertainty(positive connection degree) during the calibration and verification of MAT using the delta and SP methods compared to the CMIP5 dataset. Overall, the calibrated and verified MAP had a high degree of uncertainty(negative connection degree) regardless of the dataset or reconstruction method used. Therefore, the reconstructed time series of MAT for the period of 1850(or 1901)–1960 based on the CRU and CMIP5 datasets using the delta and SP methods could be used for further study. The results of this study will be useful for short-term(several decades) regional climate reconstruction and longer-term(100 a or more) assessments of regional climate change.     

基于产品空间理论的中国林业产业升级特征分析

林业产业如何进行转型升级是实现林业现代化与高质量发展中的重要一环。本文基于产品空间理论，使用聚类热图和复杂网络方法，构建1962—2017年中国林业产业产品空间，从产品复杂度和优势林产品变化两个角度分析林业产业升级特征。结果表明，新获得优势林产品复杂度高，为0.31，传统失势林产品较低，为-0.21，表征林业产业已朝附加值更高的有利方向升级，但传统优势林产品复杂度较低，说明林业产业已有优势产品竞争激烈不利于升级。产品复杂度较高的潜在优势林产品是林业机械、机械零件和林化产品，优势林产品在产品空间中的变化存在一定路径依赖，先扩散后收敛于产品空间的中心位置，政府制定的林业产业政策与全球化背景可能促进了优势林产品升级。因此，政府制定产业政策时，应对不同优势类型林产品采取差异化策略，应完善产品复杂度低的传统优势林产品市场退出机制；减少与优势林产品距离较近的潜在优势林产品政策干预，对距离较远的复杂度高的潜在优势林产品使用补贴等方式引导升级。     

互联网+背景下智慧农机大数据平台发展策略研究

随着“互联网＋”时代的到来，数据挖掘、数据共享、云计算等信息技术为农机的智能化和信 息化管理提供有效方法和手段。为更好的推动农业经济发展，有必要借助先进的信息技术手段，搭建 一个基于“互联网＋”的智慧农机管理信息数据共享平台，使我国农机管理进入大数据时代，推进智慧 农业发展。     

基于供应网络能力研究框架分析我国乡村旅游供应链发展现状

游客需求的多样化、旅游目的地功能强化、信息技术影响加剧都在表明传统的旅游模式已经 无法再满足的客户的需求与市场的变化，旅游供应链的构建与优化是发展旅游业的大势所趋。本文 将借助供应网络能力的研究框架，从网络定位、网络构造、网络管理三个方面分析我国旅游供应链的 发展现状。     

“互联网+"背景下农村网络扶贫新思路的探讨

本文通过分析“互联网+”时代下网络扶贫的三种新模式，指出了政府、企业、农户三方力量 各自在网络扶贫中的定位和职责，进一步夯实网络扶贫基础，从而提高扶贫治理成效。     

土壤微生物生物地理学：国内进展与国际前沿

土壤微生物生物地理学是研究土壤中微生物空间分布格局及其随时间变化的一门科学,是土壤微生物学和微生物生态学等领域的研究前沿。近年来,尽管土壤微生物生物地理学研究取得了巨大进展,目前仍面临诸多难题与挑战。本文简要回顾了土壤微生物生物地理学的发展历程,重点介绍近年来我国在森林、草地和农田生态系统中土壤微生物生物地理学研究的主要进展。同时进一步阐述了目前土壤微生物生物地理学研究的国际前沿方向,包括微生物群落空间分布及其驱动机制、群落构建过程与共存网络、微生物地理分布与生态系统功能的关联以及预测微生物群落对全球变化的响应。最后,对土壤微生物生物地理学未来的研究方向进行了展望,强调了清晰的微生物物种定义、微生物群落的时间动态、多组学与合成生物学技术以及高精度的预测模型在土壤微生物生物地理学研究中的重要性。     

基于粒子群算法优化BP神经网络的土壤含水量短期预测模型

为提高土壤含水量预测精度,基于物联网监测数据,提出了粒子群算法(PSO)优化BP神经网络的土壤含水量预测方法。首先应用主成分分析法筛选出影响土壤含水量的关键影响因子,然后构建8-5-1的BP神经网络拓扑结构,应用粒子群算法优化BP神经网络的初始权值和阈值。结果表明:与传统BP神经网络相比,新模型优化了网络结构,避免了陷入局部最优解,具有良好的预测效果;模型的评价指标平均绝对误差、平均绝对百分误差、误差均方根分别为0.259 2、0.010 5和0.135 6,与单一BP神经网络相比,预测精度更高,可满足实际的土壤含水量预测的需要。